• 'Atlanticist' Merkel rams home frustration with Trump after summits

    'Atlanticist' Merkel rams home frustration with Trump after summits
    By Paul Carrel and Andreas RinkeBERLIN (Reuters) - German Chancellor Angela Merkel underlined her doubts about the reliability of the United States as an ally on Monday but said she was a "convinced trans-Atlanticist", fine-tuning her message after surprising Washington with her frankness a day earlier.In a speech in Berlin, Merkel showed how seriously she is concerned about Washington's dependability under President Donald Trump by repeating the message she delivered a day earlier that the days
  • Brent May Not Return to Pre-Conflict Levels Anytime Soon. Forecast as of 29.07.2026

    Brent May Not Return to Pre-Conflict Levels Anytime Soon. Forecast as of 29.07.2026
    The conflict in the Middle East is unfolding as expected: escalation followed by de-escalation. As a result, investors expect Brent to quickly return to pre-conflict levels. However, that is not guaranteed. Let's examine the key drivers and develop a trading plan.Major Takeaways China's oil imports are increasing. Saudi Arabia's alternative shipping routes are blocked. Global reserves are nearing critical levels. Consider buying Brent, targeting $95 and $100.Weekly Fundamental Forecast for
  • United earnings top estimates but airline expects $6 billion in added fuel costs

    United earnings top estimates but airline expects $6 billion in added fuel costs
    United Airlines reported second-quarter results that exceeded Wall Street expectations, though the carrier faced significant headwinds from elevated fuel costs. The airline’s adjusted earnings per share came in ahead of analyst forecasts, driven by strong revenue growth and sustained passenger demand despite higher ticket prices.
    However, fuel expenses remained a major concern for the carrier. United estimated that increased fuel costs could add approximately $6 billion to its full-year e
  • Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures steady in countdown to Fed decision, AI earnings test

    Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures steady in countdown to Fed decision, AI earnings test
    Stock index futures showed modest gains on Wednesday as markets prepared for multiple catalysts including the Federal Reserve’s interest rate announcement and earnings reports from major technology firms.
    S&P 500 futures advanced 0.2%, while Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.3%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures declined 0.2% as crude oil prices moved higher following military tensions in the Middle East. Brent crude gained nearly 4% to trade above $85 per barrel after Iran conducted wh
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  • South Korea may cap leveraged ETF investments for retail investors, media reports say

    South Korea may cap leveraged ETF investments for retail investors, media reports say
    South Korea’s Financial Services Commission indicated on Tuesday that the country’s regulatory authorities were reviewing potential restrictions on leveraged exchange-traded funds for individual investors. Lee Eog-weon, chairman of the FSC, met with local brokerages and asset managers in Seoul to discuss the matter.
    The potential measures under consideration include implementing a cap on the total investment value that individual retail investors could hold in single-stock leveraged
  • RingCentral (RNG) Soars to New High as 67% Higher Dividend Payout Looms

    RingCentral (RNG) Soars to New High as 67% Higher Dividend Payout Looms
    RingCentral shares advanced significantly on Monday, reaching an intraday record of $55.30 before closing at $53.70, representing an 11.16 percent gain for the session. The momentum was driven by investor positioning ahead of the record date for elevated dividend payments to shareholders.
    The company announced plans to distribute $0.125 per share in dividends, representing a 67 percent increase from previous levels. The record date for eligibility was set for August 6, 2026, with actual payment
  • Moody’s says ‘unprecedented’ AI spending threatens credit quality of Amazon, Meta, Alphabet and others

    Moody’s says ‘unprecedented’ AI spending threatens credit quality of Amazon, Meta, Alphabet and others
    Moody’s Ratings released a research note cautioning that the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure is creating financial strain for the world’s largest technology companies. The spending surge, occurring at a rate of approximately one trillion dollars annually, is forcing even the most cash-rich corporations to increase reliance on debt issuance, equity sales, and off-balance-sheet financing arrangements to fund their AI initiatives.
    The ratings firm projects tha
  • Bunge beats second-quarter profit estimates on strong processing margins

    Bunge beats second-quarter profit estimates on strong processing margins
    Bunge reported better-than-expected second-quarter earnings and increased its full-year adjusted profit outlook on July 29. The agricultural commodities company attributed its stronger results to robust performance in its soybean and softseed processing divisions, which capitalized on improving market conditions.
    Corn and soybean prices in the United States have risen considerably since the beginning of the Iran war, leading farmers to accelerate sales of stored grain that had been withheld fro
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  • Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 29.07.2026

    Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 29.07.2026
    Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders.Yesterday, the oil price broke through the Target Zone of 80.53–79.36.Major Takeaways USCrude: The oil price has corrected higher to the resistance zone A of 81.43–81.04. XAUUSD: Gold is testing the 4,044 level from below. EURUSD: The euro conti
  • The Dollar Enters Uncharted Territory. Forecast as of 29.07.2026

    The Dollar Enters Uncharted Territory. Forecast as of 29.07.2026
    Markets currently price in a 68% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged, compared with a 32% chance of a rate hike. This is the narrowest gap since September 2024, making a surprise outcome quite possible. How will the US dollar react? Let's discuss this topic and make a trading plan for EUR/USD.Major Takeaways The US dollar has diverged from oil prices. Speculation about a Fed rate hike is intensifying. A passive Fed stance would weigh on the greenback. Keeping
  • Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 29.07.2026

    Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 29.07.2026
    Dear readers,I've prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on Elliott Wave analysis.Major Takeaways BTCUSD: The price continues to decline in the fifth part of an impulse. Consider short positions with a Take Profit at 57,662.26. XRPUSD: The price is declining in the final impulse wave of the zigzag pattern. Consider short positions with a Take Profit at 0.951. ETHUSD: The price is moving lower in a bearish impulse wave. Short positions can be considered w
  • Weekly Economic Calendar for 03.08.2026–09.08.2026

    Weekly Economic Calendar for 03.08.2026–09.08.2026
    The market remains gripped by extreme volatility. Geopolitical developments continue to dominate sentiment, overshadowing key macroeconomic data. Nevertheless, during the week of August 3–9, 2026, investors will closely monitor important economic releases from China, Germany, Switzerland, the US, New Zealand, Australia, Canada, and the Eurozone.Friday's release of the US Department of Labor's July employment report will undoubtedly be the key event of the week.Note: During the coming week,
  • Why Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon earnings could crush the S&P 500

    Why Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon earnings could crush the S&P 500
    The concentration of the S&P 500 index among a handful of mega-cap technology stocks has reached historic levels, with the 10 largest companies now representing 38% of the index. This concentration has raised concerns among market strategists about vulnerability to negative earnings surprises from key holdings, particularly regarding artificial intelligence capital expenditure trends.
    Alphabet’s earnings report last week triggered a significant sell-off in its shares, which fell 9% ov
  • Wheat Fading Back Early on Monday

    Wheat Fading Back Early on Monday
    Wheat futures markets experienced weakness during the session, with the complex under pressure from profit-taking activity as traders closed positions before the weekend. Chicago SRW contracts closed down 12 to 18 1/4 cents in front-month contracts, while September contracts fell 4 3/4 cents on the week. Kansas City HRW futures declined 10 to 14 3/4 cents in nearby contracts for the day, though September maintained a weekly gain of 13 cents. Minneapolis spring wheat futures retreated 10 to 15 3
  • Volkswagen CFO addresses plant closures, job losses as profits sink

    Volkswagen CFO addresses plant closures, job losses as profits sink
    Volkswagen announced results for the second quarter that fell below analyst expectations, posting an operating profit of 3.5 billion euros for the April to June period, representing a decline of nearly 10% compared to the same timeframe the previous year. The figure missed consensus estimates of 4.3 billion euros compiled by LSEG.
    The company also revised its outlook for full-year 2026, indicating it now expects sales revenue to decline by up to 3% rather than grow by the previously projected u
  • Soybeans Falling Back on Monday Morning Trade with Weather and Outside Pressures

    Soybeans Falling Back on Monday Morning Trade with Weather and Outside Pressures
    Soybean futures markets experienced significant pressure during Monday morning trading, with losses ranging from 32 to 35 cents across contracts. This decline followed a stronger Friday session in which futures closed steady to 10½ cents higher, with August contracts gaining 43½ cents for the week and November contracts advancing 50½ cents. The national average cash bean price had risen 9¾ cents to $12.14¾ on Friday.
    Weather conditions emerged as a primary hea
  • Hogs Look to Monday Trade as Pork Stocks See a Build

    Hogs Look to Monday Trade as Pork Stocks See a Build
    Lean hog futures closed higher on Friday across multiple contract months. August futures settled $1.20 higher for the week, while open interest increased by 442 contracts during the session. The CME Lean Hog Index rose 40 cents on July 22 to $97.48. USDA’s national base hog price declined $2.77 in the Friday afternoon report, settling at $99.37.
    Commodity Futures Trading Commission data from the weekly Commitment of Traders report showed managed money reducing their net short position by
  • Corn Retreating Early on Monday

    Corn Retreating Early on Monday
    Corn futures experienced weakness early in the trading session, with losses of 12 to 14 cents driven by an improving weather outlook and a $6.07 decline in crude oil prices. While initial weakness was substantial, front-month contracts staged a partial recovery, pulling more than 8 cents off their lows before the close. September contracts closed fractionally mixed, ending the day up 19 1/2 cents for the week, while December contracts finished unchanged but were up 20 cents on a weekly basis.
    O
  • Coca-Cola hikes full-year forecast. CEO tells CNBC the World Cup boosted its brands

    Coca-Cola hikes full-year forecast. CEO tells CNBC the World Cup boosted its brands
    Coca-Cola released second-quarter results that surpassed analyst expectations, prompting the company to elevate its full-year projections. The beverage maker now forecasts comparable earnings per share growth of 9% to 10%, up from a previous range of 8% to 9%. Additionally, Coke raised its organic revenue growth outlook to approximately 5%, moving to the upper end of its earlier 4% to 5% guidance.
    The company attributed much of its strong quarterly performance to the impact of its World Cup mar
  • Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Fell as Guidance and Litigation Concerns Overshadowed Growth

    Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Fell as Guidance and Litigation Concerns Overshadowed Growth
    Jensen Quality Growth Equity Strategy, a US-based asset management fund, issued its second-quarter 2026 investor letter detailing portfolio performance and specific holdings. The fund returned 10.94% net of fees during the quarter, trailing the S&P 500 Index’s 15.20% return. Market strength during the period was driven by easing geopolitical tensions, improved financial conditions, sustained consumer spending, and ongoing investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure. However,
  • Boeing posts wider loss than expected as Air Force One costs weigh on results

    Boeing posts wider loss than expected as Air Force One costs weigh on results
    Boeing disclosed a net loss of $428 million, or 67 cents per share, for the second quarter, representing an improvement from a loss of $612 million, or 92 cents per share, in the comparable period a year prior. The company recorded a $280 million loss specifically tied to its Air Force One program, which involves manufacturing two 747 aircraft for delivery to the U.S. government. The manufacturer stated it expects to deliver the first of these jets in 2028.
    The company’s revenue climbed 8
  • Amazon, Meta and Microsoft face skeptical investors this week after Google report sparked sell-off

    Amazon, Meta and Microsoft face skeptical investors this week after Google report sparked sell-off
    Alphabet revealed plans to increase its 2026 capital expenditure forecast alongside second-quarter earnings released on Wednesday, prompting a 7% decline in its stock price on Thursday. The announcement reflected the company’s efforts to expand data center capacity for artificial intelligence operations. Shares of Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft also fell in the aftermath, signaling broader investor concern about the spending patterns of major technology infrastructure providers.
    Historically
  • Yen's Only Hope May Be Currency Intervention. Forecast as of 28.07.2026

    Yen's Only Hope May Be Currency Intervention. Forecast as of 28.07.2026
    USD/JPY bears have little reason to count on the Fed. Instead of attracting capital, Japan risks facing capital outflows, while the BoJ's reluctance to act continues to weigh heavily on the yen. Is there a way out? Let's examine the latest developments and develop a trading strategy.Major Takeaways The Fed's decisions may not affect USDJPY. The Bank of Japan has to remain cautious. The GPIF has no intention of helping the government. Consider selling the USDJPY pair if it drops below 163.35.Week
  • UPS beats earnings expectations, raises full-year guidance

    UPS beats earnings expectations, raises full-year guidance
    United Parcel Service reported second-quarter results that exceeded Wall Street projections and prompted the company to elevate its full-year outlook. The parcel delivery firm posted net income of $604 million, or 71 cents per share, for the quarter ending June 30, representing a decline from the prior-year period’s $1.28 billion, or $1.51 per share. On an adjusted basis excluding one-time items, the company recorded profit of $1.5 billion, or $1.76 per share.
    Following the stronger-than-
  • The bond market’s danger zone is becoming the new normal: Chart of the Day

    The bond market’s danger zone is becoming the new normal: Chart of the Day
    Treasury yields have remained elevated, with the 30-year yield finishing above the 5% threshold for 14 consecutive trading days through Friday—the longest such period since July 2007. This milestone reflects a broader pattern, as the yield has closed above 5% a total of 29 times in the current calendar year, already exceeding the annual frequency recorded since 2007. Previously, such moves above 5% had represented temporary incursions into what Wall Street considers a danger zone, but the
  • Morning Bid: Chip rout snowballs

    Morning Bid: Chip rout snowballs
    Global semiconductor markets experienced a significant selloff that accelerated overnight, with multiple factors contributing to investor concerns across the sector. Nvidia shares dropped sharply following reports of circular financing arrangements with OpenAI, while shares of South Korean chipmakers SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics declined ahead of their earnings reports. Seoul’s KOSPI index fell nearly 11% on Tuesday, marking its largest daily loss in nearly five months.
    The broader ch
  • Mercedes gets shares boost on stable second quarter despite China woes

    Mercedes gets shares boost on stable second quarter despite China woes
    Mercedes-Benz experienced a share price increase on Tuesday following the release of its second-quarter financial results. The company’s shares climbed as much as 5.9% immediately after the announcement, though gains moderated to 2.9% by late morning trading. The positive market reaction came as the German automaker demonstrated resilience amid broader sector challenges affecting the European automotive industry.
    Operating profit for the second quarter rose 22% to €1.5 billion despit
  • Fitch warns AI market correction emerging as major global credit risk

    Fitch warns AI market correction emerging as major global credit risk
    Ratings agency Fitch identified an artificial intelligence market correction as an emerging major global credit risk in its third-quarter outlook, joining other international watchdogs expressing concern about the trajectory of technology valuations and capital spending in the sector.
    Fitch noted that artificial intelligence investment has become deeply interwoven with economic growth and capital markets, particularly in the United States, creating significant exposure to potential major sellof
  • Dollar hovers near four-week peak as markets mull Fed hike odds

    Dollar hovers near four-week peak as markets mull Fed hike odds
    The U.S. dollar remained relatively stable near its highest level in four weeks on the trading day, hovering around 101.50 on the dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of major currencies. The euro edged up to $1.1370, while the dollar held at 163.745 against the yen and sterling climbed to $1.330.
    Market participants focused heavily on expectations surrounding a potential Federal Reserve interest rate decision scheduled for the following day. The repricing of Fed expectatio
  • A ‘Super El Niño’ is expected to squeeze commodities even further this year

    A ‘Super El Niño’ is expected to squeeze commodities even further this year
    Scientists are forecasting a particularly intense El Niño weather pattern to emerge this year, according to analysis from major financial institutions. The climate phenomenon, characterized by unusually warm Pacific Ocean waters, is expected to shift global weather patterns and bring extreme conditions including severe droughts, monsoons, flooding, and heat waves to various regions worldwide.
    Bank of America strategists noted that of the 20 El Niño events recorded over the past 75

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